Thursday, August 7, 2008

The Cat Fight Between The Music Biz Haves and Have Nots

The music industry is intriguingly divided on the artist side by those artists that already have a brand, and those that do not. The clearest divide is between the mega stars, and the unsigned. And though it would seem that both rich artists and poor artists play for the same team, in truth their interests are divergent.

Major labels have played and continue to play a critical role in the development of new bands. While that role is indeed anemic compared to how thing worked a decade or two ago, the label’s most important role is still as banker. They invest money in artists that typically don’t have any – both money for the artist’s pocket (profit), and money for the artist’s development.

Many new artist need this. We can certainly argue about whether there are some that don’t -- personally I don’t think there are that many. But there is little argument that to many, the per-record advance check, the validation of a label, the promotional budget, etc. are all critical. Despite the breathless arguments to the contrary, there are precious few artist that are anything close to successful (i.e. at minimum able to sustain themselves from just their artistry) without having had a label deal.

But what is really interesting here is that artists that are established enough that their touring businesses are substantively profitable don’t need the labels anymore. Many are excited at the idea of leaving. The reasons for this are primarily economic. If you can put out your own record, and you have a real fan base, even if you sell far less records, you can keep all of the money. So you can sell five or six times fewer records and still do better financially.

Of course the reason the label gets to keep so much money is because they invested early when no one else did, and the likelihood is that most artists are, as a business proposition, losers. This is not intended to offend, its just statistics. Most artists don’t make money for their labels, so economically, for most artists, a label deal is a windfall, because the odds are they were never going to make it anyway, and so that label advance really is pennies from heaven.

And just like all portfolio businesses, whether venture capital, or movies, or music, you make up for all the losers with the handful of winners. This is the Faustian bargain that artists make. If you have a crystal ball, and know you are going to be a hit, you still need to sign away most of your recorded music revenues because you need the label for exposure – and possibly to eat.

And so what is fascinating is to watch artists who don’t need the labels any more talk about them as though they never needed them. Whether its Joss Stone, or Lyle Lovett, or any of the others who proclaim to hate the system that has made them rich and famous, this tension is intriguing. Because the vast majority of new artists who don’t have a major label deal would indeed love to have one. Because, like it or not, there are few paths to fame and fortune for the unsigned.

12 comments:

Etienne said...

I'm not sure that the only way to financial success, for a music artist, is signing with major labels.

But you are right that the vast majority of artists are losers, from a business perspective.

I dont think that this is because there is a limited amount of 'earnings' that needs to be shared amongst artists. I think that this is because there are many artists (the majority of them .. of 'us' I should say) who are not really artists... and they fail in 'engaging' their audience.

They are romantic lifestylers whose communicative ability is too poor to even reveal that they have nothing much to communicate, other than their self-deluded visions of artistic significance.

Their self-awareness is too meagre to allow them to see that their art is inspired by their inner emptiness.

The internet has become rife for this breed. Its so easy to publish work ... its so easy to strum 4 bars on a guitar and wallop trash ... only to reveal that the angst you feel is fear of artistic insignificance ... or uncontrollable desire for success.

Just because someone has spent 4 years recording an album does not mean that they should be financially supported to continue, DRM or no DRM.

Given the masses of drivel that the creatively mute pump out, the real challenge is identifying the 'real artists' ... the artists who perceive the world in a different way, and have the ability to communicate that and engage/enlighten their audience.

Once those artists are identified ... the next question is, how can we financially support them so that they may continue to do their work. DRM is irrelevant. Major labels are irrelevant.

Identify and support the 'real' artists... forget the drivel.

Hank Williams said...

Etienne,

Interesting comments. Thanks.

Hank

Erik M Jacobs said...

The tides are definitely turning in favor of the artist in this scenario, and the label as the VC is becoming more the "company." Check out this article about EA Games signing an artist:
http://www.thestreet.com/story/10426855/1/ea-tries-to-go-platinum-with-music-label.html

The face of the industry is definitely changing, and I think the record label is going to fall out of style in the near future. With the age of digital distribution and iTunes, the "record label" isn't really needed by the artist if some other entity can step in and simply get them on the radio (a dying form of media) and get them into concert halls.

With services like Shoutcast, Last.fm and Pandora people are no longer relying on the radio to discover new artists.

Just some interesting things, for sure.

Hank Williams said...

Erik,

That EA article is very interesting, but somehow I don't think EA will be dumb enough to play the kind of role in the music business that record companies currently play in the biz. Record companies dole out a lot of cash. And at the end of the day, it just seems to me we are heading towards a world where there is a lot less cash being risked on young acts. If they don't need it, it won't matter. But I do think there will be outstanding artists that cant bankroll their own efforts that we will never hear.

Mark Allerton said...

The comparison between the labels and VCs is something that has struck me before - it's a very apt one. One big difference is that labels come with a whole package of other services too - promotion, distribution etc, and artists give up far more control over their destiny than a VC funded startup would.

It could be that artists would be better served if it was possible for them to shop around for each of these services - funding, promotion, distribution - and remain more in control of their destiny.

This is all going to be moot if everything digitally reproducible is expected to be given away for free. Artists with anything more than the most basic of ambitions would be forced to revert to the business model that existed before the record label. I think it was called patronage.

You can argue that the label model was a funding model that only worked because of the combination of distributability+scarcity introduced by the vinyl record. But that funding model gave us Dark Side Of The Moon/Songs In The Key Of Life/What's Going On* and we will all be poorer if that goes away.

(*I list those three because they all cost a lot of money to make - you cannot make records like those in your bedroom)

Hank Williams said...

All great points Mark.

The concept of patronage is fascinating. I wonder what else artists had to do beyond create art back in those olden days to earn continued, err... patronage.

Anonymous said...

This is very well said. In a related vein, a research aricle recently published by HBS found that the "long tail" phenom is a steeper curve - meaning the disparity between big artists and developing acts is even greater. All the choice creates too much noise in the system for most people - so even more just default to the hits. And as to the EA thing - look at what happened to Starbucks.

Bob Olhsson said...

The problem with patronage is that the patron decides what people will hear and not the listener. This is exactly what's wrong with commercial music radio today.

When I began my career radio couldn't afford demographic market research so they decided what to play by calling up record stores and finding out what local people were buying. Yes, they'd take money for a few spins but the vast bulk of what got played was determined by what people voted for by using their wallet at the record store. I think one of our biggest problems has been losing this relationship where record sales determined air play over the past couple decades.

The funding model worked because it was a real meritocracy where cream could rise to the top. Nobody being able to afford cattle anymore puts a pretty big damper on the future for cream.

blog said...

Hi all,

I've blogged extensively about the fact that VCs function very similarly to Record Labels.

Developers are the New Rock Stars:

http://blog.ambisonia.com/2008/04/08/developers-are-the-new-musicians-and-google-is-a-record-company/

Pingu said...

I thought the real old model was that musicians earnt their money by touring... If music is free (or virtually free as in 10cents a track) to download I'd be able to go see the bands I want who are playing live more.

I could be wrong but I was under the impression that bands (or their record companies) made a LOT of money from touring what with T-shirts, hoodies, big foam fingers, etc.

And errr didn't Josh Stone actually recently say she didn't consider file sharing her songs to be illegal?

Me? I agree with Mark Allerton, record companies are going to become consultancy agencies for bands, just like other types of public relations consulting: PR, tour planning, etc. While actual distribution of music slowly becomes entirely digital and music stores fade from the high street because who wants a CD?

Hank Williams said...

Pingu,

Please re-read this article.

To summarize, the point is that unsigned artists don't, for the most part, make money. Big artists do. I am not sure how your comment in any way relates to the subject of this piece unless you are saying you think unsigned artists do make LOTS of money. In which case you are indeed very misinformed. If unsigned artist made lots of money they wouldnt sign with labels. But they are all, for the most part, still desperate to do so.

Pingu said...

No I was in no way implying that unsigned acts find it hard to make a living.

What I was trying to elude to was the fact that this idea of multination corporations owning conglomeration of record labels is a fairly recent phenonemon (cira 1970s I believe) and that prior to this an artists major income was derived from touring NOT the sale of CDs. After all if you're only distributing a couple thousand records a year it can't be the main source of your income.

What I think we're starting to see is bands no prepared to "bend over and take it for the fame" from some large record company but rather are more willing to post free material on social networks and other similar type of site, making torrents readily available. And then earning the money from gigging. Coupled with the resurgence of more independant, and even Open Source, record labels this will hopefully allow unsigned bands to circumvent the cluches of the machine.

My comments regarding Josh Stone were more that if large artist don't talk out against large record labels who will that has a voice that can be heard? Surely not the unsigned bands - who listens to them.

Isn't it possible that this Cat Fight might actually be started in order to better the situation of the unsigned act? If well known established artists can't point out problems with the record labels who can? Something tells me very few. Even determined bloggers.

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